Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #7
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 13.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 53.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/21 9/4 9/18 9/25 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 232 282 260 256 287 265 320 239 262
Team Adjusted Rating 250 230 222 255 235 258 218 235
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
45  Taylor Hansen 10 19:17 19:33 19:25 19:31 19:32 19:26 19:35 19:07 19:19
66  Sophia Haslett 9 19:30 19:30
71  Marybeth Hall 10 19:32 19:52 19:32 19:50 19:52 19:52 19:44 19:22 19:30
115  Brooke Hansen 12 19:51 19:37 19:12 19:52 19:31 20:46 20:10
153  Paige Hout 11 20:06 20:53 20:47 20:58 20:34 20:42 20:34 19:57 19:57
156  Hadley Snell 10 20:07 19:56 20:14 19:56 20:18 20:14 20:15 20:00 20:03
167  Haile Schiffeneder 9 20:09 20:35 20:08 20:20 20:04 20:01 20:17 19:58 20:10
408  Maura Sloffer 10 21:14 21:34 21:35 20:55 20:55 21:24 21:14
790  Jillian Yoder 22:16 22:25 22:08
870  Katie Williams 22:25 23:21 22:25 21:55
Anna Ealing 24:00 24:27 23:37 24:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 10.2 297 0.1 0.4 3.1 4.6 5.9 6.7 7.8 7.8 8.5 8.4 8.3 7.9 7.4 6.8 5.6 3.9 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.3 102 32.4 28.9 20.5 11.7 5.2 1.1 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.5 54 56.8 33.1 9.6 0.5
Sectionals 100% 1.4 42 64.3 35.2 0.5 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Hansen 100% 45.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.6 99.0%
Marybeth Hall 100% 67.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 91.2%
Brooke Hansen 100% 98.8 0.0 59.8%
Paige Hout 100% 122.0 26.5%
Hadley Snell 100% 123.1 24.3%
Haile Schiffeneder 100% 126.6 20.4%
Maura Sloffer 100% 175.6 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Hansen 100% 10.3 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.9 5.5 7.3 8.8 10.0 9.7 9.7 8.5 7.0 5.9 4.7 3.8 3.1 2.5 1.9 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Marybeth Hall 100% 15.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.1 3.6 4.3 5.6 6.6 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.1 5.8 5.3 5.0 4.3 3.7 3.2 2.7 2.5 100.0%
Brooke Hansen 100% 24.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.7 4.2 4.3 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.2 5.2 5.1 100.0%
Paige Hout 100% 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.8 2.7 99.7%
Hadley Snell 100% 33.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.5 3.0 99.6%
Haile Schiffeneder 100% 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 99.5%
Maura Sloffer 100% 81.8 12.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Hansen 100% 4.2 0.1 8.0 17.9 21.2 17.9 12.8 8.1 5.3 3.4 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Marybeth Hall 100% 7.0 0.8 3.0 7.2 11.6 13.8 13.3 11.3 10.3 8.2 6.6 5.1 3.3 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Brooke Hansen 100% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 4.7 6.0 7.2 8.0 9.5 9.5 10.0 8.8 7.4 6.3 5.3 3.9 2.9 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Paige Hout 100% 17.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 3.1 4.3 5.4 6.9 8.0 8.0 8.8 8.7 8.6 7.5 6.7 4.9 4.1 3.3 2.3 100.0%
Hadley Snell 100% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 4.1 5.4 6.4 7.6 7.9 8.7 8.9 8.7 7.8 6.0 5.7 4.5 3.3 2.5 100.0%
Haile Schiffeneder 100% 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.5 2.3 3.1 4.1 5.4 6.6 7.4 8.6 8.6 9.1 8.4 7.6 6.3 5.5 4.1 2.9 100.0%
Maura Sloffer 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Hansen 2.8 0.0 23.5 32.3 20.9 10.6 5.9 4.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Marybeth Hall 4.9 2.7 9.6 19.0 21.0 14.2 11.3 10.6 5.6 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Brooke Hansen 8.6 0.1 0.7 2.1 5.6 9.9 10.1 12.3 15.5 13.8 10.1 7.1 5.1 3.4 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Paige Hout 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.8 3.8 6.3 9.7 11.5 13.3 11.8 10.4 8.7 6.8 5.3 3.1 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Hadley Snell 12.3 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.9 6.1 8.9 10.9 12.1 12.1 11.0 9.2 7.2 5.6 3.5 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
Haile Schiffeneder 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.5 2.8 4.7 7.2 9.4 11.7 12.2 12.1 11.1 8.4 6.2 4.5 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Maura Sloffer 26.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.4 3.8 6.1 9.9 12.1